Showing posts with label Record. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Record. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Cricket - Batting averages can lie

Continuing on Rohit Sharma…


His test record looks good with batting average of 40.71. Virat Kohli crossed 40 average mark only after 30th test match. 


Rohit Sharma has two not outs in his career 111 n.o and 31 n.o. If those two innings are excluded then his average falls down to 30.57. Now by considering those two innings and ignoring the not outs his average for 16 innings is 35.63. Even that seems to be quiet good for a batsman who has played 9 test matches only.

Further, analyzing his 16 innings statistically...


Mean - 36 is average number of runs he has scored in each innings. That means to say we can expect him to score 36 runs every innings.
Median - He has scores less than 22 in 50% (8 innings) of the innings he has played.
Mode - He has got out on 6 runs 3 times.
Standard deviation - He has scored runs anywhere between 0 to 82 runs in most of the innings.


This graph clearly suggest his two innings are the outliers and incidentally these two innings he has batted in India.

Interestingly these two innings account to 49.5% of the runs he has scored.

If we ignore these two innings that will constitute his overseas record.


His graph here is more consistent.




His average (mean) value dips to 20 runs per innings.

While his median value doesn't have much of an impact it is 20, i.e., he has 50% (7 innings) scores of below 20 runs per innings he has played. That is why median gives true indication than average which can go up and down based on one big innings or even more fluctuate when it is a big innings not out.

As the outliers are removed, his standard deviation also improves 20 runs. That means most of his scores are between 0 to 40 runs with mean .

The above analysis clearly shows that only average doesn't qualify to be a right measure of a batsman.

Sunday, March 23, 2014

Analysis on Indian squad for World T20 2014

The Team

  1. MS Dhoni (c/wk)
  2. Ravichandran Ashwin
  3. Shikhar Dhawan
  4. Virat Kohli
  5. Amit Mishra
  6. Ajinkya Rahane
  7. Mohit Sharma
  8. Yuvraj Singh
  9. Varun Aaron
  10. Stuart Binny
  11. Ravindra Jadeja
  12. Bhuvneshwar Kumar
  13. Mohammed Shami
  14. Suresh Raina
  15. Rohit Sharma
 
India has won 55.3% of T20 matches played.
The current squad has a winning percentage of 55.9%

Performance

India if batting first the have score atleast 173 runs
If chasing they can chase between 164 to 206



Note: The above graph is based on the current teams individual's average and strike rate, not based on the team performance.

Probability of a player scoring 50+ in World cup T20 match

A player is more likely to score 50+ while batting first than chasing

Average No of 4's in a match



Average No of 6's in a match

Impact Players

Yuvraj Singh

India definitely depends on Yuvraj Singh Whenever he preforms well, India has won; be it setting target or chasing.



SK Raina

Raina has the most consistent strike rate.

MS Dhoni

Like Yuvraj, Dhoni has impact on team chances. He is more likely have an impact on setting targets.



Virat Kohli

 Clearly Kohli is second innings player.