Showing posts with label India vs Australia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label India vs Australia. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Cricket - Batting averages can lie

Continuing on Rohit Sharma…


His test record looks good with batting average of 40.71. Virat Kohli crossed 40 average mark only after 30th test match. 


Rohit Sharma has two not outs in his career 111 n.o and 31 n.o. If those two innings are excluded then his average falls down to 30.57. Now by considering those two innings and ignoring the not outs his average for 16 innings is 35.63. Even that seems to be quiet good for a batsman who has played 9 test matches only.

Further, analyzing his 16 innings statistically...


Mean - 36 is average number of runs he has scored in each innings. That means to say we can expect him to score 36 runs every innings.
Median - He has scores less than 22 in 50% (8 innings) of the innings he has played.
Mode - He has got out on 6 runs 3 times.
Standard deviation - He has scored runs anywhere between 0 to 82 runs in most of the innings.


This graph clearly suggest his two innings are the outliers and incidentally these two innings he has batted in India.

Interestingly these two innings account to 49.5% of the runs he has scored.

If we ignore these two innings that will constitute his overseas record.


His graph here is more consistent.




His average (mean) value dips to 20 runs per innings.

While his median value doesn't have much of an impact it is 20, i.e., he has 50% (7 innings) scores of below 20 runs per innings he has played. That is why median gives true indication than average which can go up and down based on one big innings or even more fluctuate when it is a big innings not out.

As the outliers are removed, his standard deviation also improves 20 runs. That means most of his scores are between 0 to 40 runs with mean .

The above analysis clearly shows that only average doesn't qualify to be a right measure of a batsman.

Thursday, December 11, 2014

Virat Kohli - On a long way

Virat Kohli has had a great start to his career. In the 140 ODI matches that he has played, he has scored over 5700 runs at an average of 51.24. Especially while chasing a target he’s been exceptional and consistent. But his test statistics doesn’t seem to project the same level of greatness as his ODI records.

In the 29 test matches (before India vs Australia series 2014) he has played so far he has scored 1855 runs at an average of 39.46. This really looks bad when compared to his ODI average of 51.24. How does it look when it is compared with the greats after playing 29 test matches?

As of today (12th Dec, 2014) the following are top six players based on runs scored over their career



Based on the number of runs scored in first 29 matches, Virat Kohli is better than Kallis & Ponting. He has scored more centuries than them and also more than Dravid, Sangakkara, & Lara. But Virat fails miserably in the average sections




India batsmen are generally compared on how they fare outside India. Kohli has played 31 innings outside India, and when comparing that with first 31 innings of other great India players, he is some way below the rest.




Kohli’s has scored century on his captaincy debut and in good hope he should be able to keep his records along or above the rest of the greats.